Sunday, October 24, 2010

The Globalizer Who Came In From the Cold

http://www.gregpalast.com/the-globalizer-who-came-in-from-the-cold/

JOE STIGLITZ: TODAY'S WINNER OF THE NOBEL PRIZE IN ECONOMICS

by Greg Palast

The World Bank's former Chief Economist's accusations are eye-popping - including how the IMF and US Treasury fixed the Russian elections

"It has condemned people to death," the former apparatchik told me. This was like a scene out of Le Carre. The brilliant old agent comes in from the cold, crosses to our side, and in hours of debriefing, empties his memory of horrors committed in the name of a political ideology he now realizes has gone rotten.

And here before me was a far bigger catch than some used Cold War spy. Joseph Stiglitz was Chief Economist of the World Bank. To a great extent, the new world economic order was his theory come to life.

I "debriefed" Stigltiz over several days, at Cambridge University, in a London hotel and finally in Washington in April 2001 during the big confab of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. But instead of chairing the meetings of ministers and central bankers, Stiglitz was kept exiled safely behind the blue police cordons, the same as the nuns carrying a large wooden cross, the Bolivian union leaders, the parents of AIDS victims and the other 'anti-globalization' protesters. The ultimate insider was now on the outside.

In 1999 the World Bank fired Stiglitz. He was not allowed quiet retirement; US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, I'm told, demanded a public excommunication for Stiglitz' having expressed his first mild dissent from globalization World Bank style.

Here in Washington we completed the last of several hours of exclusive interviews for The Observer and BBC TV's Newsnight about the real, often hidden, workings of the IMF, World Bank, and the bank's 51% owner, the US Treasury.

And here, from sources unnamable (not Stiglitz), we obtained a cache of documents marked, "confidential," "restricted," and "not otherwise (to be) disclosed without World Bank authorization."

Stiglitz helped translate one from bureaucratise, a "Country Assistance Strategy." There's an Assistance Strategy for every poorer nation, designed, says the World Bank, after careful in-country investigation. But according to insider Stiglitz, the Bank's staff 'investigation' consists of close inspection of a nation's 5-star hotels. It concludes with the Bank staff meeting some begging, busted finance minister who is handed a 'restructuring agreement' pre-drafted for his 'voluntary' signature (I have a selection of these).

Each nation's economy is individually analyzed, then, says Stiglitz, the Bank hands every minister the same exact four-step program.

Step One is Privatization - which Stiglitz said could more accurately be called, 'Briberization.' Rather than object to the sell-offs of state industries, he said national leaders - using the World Bank's demands to silence local critics - happily flogged their electricity and water companies. "You could see their eyes widen" at the prospect of 10% commissions paid to Swiss bank accounts for simply shaving a few billion off the sale price of national assets.

And the US government knew it, charges Stiglitz, at least in the case of the biggest 'briberization' of all, the 1995 Russian sell-off. "The US Treasury view was this was great as we wanted Yeltsin re-elected. We don't care if it's a corrupt election. We want the money to go to Yeltzin" via kick-backs for his campaign.

Stiglitz is no conspiracy nutter ranting about Black Helicopters. The man was inside the game, a member of Bill Clinton's cabinet as Chairman of the President's council of economic advisors.

Most ill-making for Stiglitz is that the US-backed oligarchs stripped Russia's industrial assets, with the effect that the corruption scheme cut national output nearly in half causing depression and starvation.

After briberization, Step Two of the IMF/World Bank one-size-fits-all rescue-your-economy plan is 'Capital Market Liberalization.' In theory, capital market deregulation allows investment capital to flow in and out. Unfortunately, as in Indonesia and Brazil, the money simply flowed out and out. Stiglitz calls this the "Hot Money" cycle. Cash comes in for speculation in real estate and currency, then flees at the first whiff of trouble. A nation's reserves can drain in days, hours. And when that happens, to seduce speculators into returning a nation's own capital funds, the IMF demands these nations raise interest rates to 30%, 50% and 80%.

"The result was predictable," said Stiglitz of the Hot Money tidal waves in Asia and Latin America. Higher interest rates demolished property values, savaged industrial production and drained national treasuries.

At this point, the IMF drags the gasping nation to Step Three: Market-Based Pricing, a fancy term for raising prices on food, water and cooking gas. This leads, predictably, to Step-Three-and-a-Half: what Stiglitz calls, "The IMF riot."

The IMF riot is painfully predictable. When a nation is, "down and out, [the IMF] takes advantage and squeezes the last pound of blood out of them. They turn up the heat until, finally, the whole cauldron blows up," as when the IMF eliminated food and fuel subsidies for the poor in Indonesia in 1998. Indonesia exploded into riots, but there are other examples - the Bolivian riots over water prices last year and this February, the riots in Ecuador over the rise in cooking gas prices imposed by the World Bank. You'd almost get the impression that the riot is written into the plan.

And it is. What Stiglitz did not know is that, while in the States, BBC and The Observer obtained several documents from inside the World Bank, stamped over with those pesky warnings, "confidential," "restricted," "not to be disclosed." Let's get back to one: the "Interim Country Assistance Strategy" for Ecuador, in it the Bank several times states - with cold accuracy - that they expected their plans to spark, "social unrest," to use their bureaucratic term for a nation in flames.

That's not surprising. The secret report notes that the plan to make the US dollar Ecuador's currency has pushed 51% of the population below the poverty line. The World Bank "Assistance" plan simply calls for facing down civil strife and suffering with, "political resolve" - and still higher prices.

The IMF riots (and by riots I mean peaceful demonstrations dispersed by bullets, tanks and teargas) cause new panicked flights of capital and government bankruptcies. This economic arson has it's bright side - for foreign corporations, who can then pick off remaining assets, such as the odd mining concession or port, at fire sale prices.

Stiglitz notes that the IMF and World Bank are not heartless adherents to market economics. At the same time the IMF stopped Indonesia 'subsidizing' food purchases, "when the banks need a bail-out, intervention (in the market) is welcome." The IMF scrounged up tens of billions of dollars to save Indonesia's financiers and, by extension, the US and European banks from which they had borrowed.

A pattern emerges. There are lots of losers in this system but one clear winner: the Western banks and US Treasury, making the big bucks off this crazy new international capital churn. Stiglitz told me about his unhappy meeting, early in his World Bank tenure, with Ethopia's new president in the nation's first democratic election. The World Bank and IMF had ordered Ethiopia to divert aid money to its reserve account at the US Treasury, which pays a pitiful 4% return, while the nation borrowed US dollars at 12% to feed its population. The new president begged Stiglitz to let him use the aid money to rebuild the nation. But no, the loot went straight off to the US Treasury's vault in Washington.

Now we arrive at Step Four of what the IMF and World Bank call their "poverty reduction strategy": Free Trade. This is free trade by the rules of the World Trade Organization and World Bank, Stiglitz the insider likens free trade WTO-style to the Opium Wars. "That too was about opening markets," he said. As in the 19th century, Europeans and Americans today are kicking down the barriers to sales in Asia, Latin American and Africa, while barricading our own markets against Third World agriculture.

In the Opium Wars, the West used military blockades to force open markets for their unbalanced trade. Today, the World Bank can order a financial blockade just as effective - and sometimes just as deadly.

Stiglitz is particularly emotional over the WTO's intellectual property rights treaty (it goes by the acronym TRIPS, more on that in the next chapters). It is here, says the economist, that the new global order has "condemned people to death" by imposing impossible tariffs and tributes to pay to pharmaceutical companies for branded medicines. "They don't care," said the professor of the corporations and bank loans he worked with, "if people live or die."

By the way, don't be confused by the mix in this discussion of the IMF, World Bank and WTO. They are interchangeable masks of a single governance system. They have locked themselves together by what are unpleasantly called, "triggers." Taking a World Bank loan for a school 'triggers' a requirement to accept every 'conditionality' - they average 111 per nation - laid down by both the World Bank and IMF. In fact, said Stiglitz the IMF requires nations to accept trade policies more punitive than the official WTO rules.

Stiglitz greatest concern is that World Bank plans, devised in secrecy and driven by an absolutist ideology, are never open for discourse or dissent. Despite the West's push for elections throughout the developing world, the so-called Poverty Reduction Programs "undermine democracy."

And they don't work. Black Africa's productivity under the guiding hand of IMF structural "assistance" has gone to hell in a handbag. Did any nation avoid this fate? Yes, said Stiglitz, identifying Botswana. Their trick? "They told the IMF to go packing."

So then I turned on Stiglitz. OK, Mr Smart-Guy Professor, how would you help developing nations? Stiglitz proposed radical land reform, an attack at the heart of "landlordism," on the usurious rents charged by the propertied oligarchies worldwide, typically 50% of a tenant's crops. So I had to ask the professor: as you were top economist at the World Bank, why didn't the Bank follow your advice?

"If you challenge [land ownership], that would be a change in the power of the elites. That's not high on their agenda." Apparently not.

Ultimately, what drove him to put his job on the line was the failure of the banks and US Treasury to change course when confronted with the crises - failures and suffering perpetrated by their four-step monetarist mambo. Every time their free market solutions failed, the IMF simply demanded more free market policies.

"It's a little like the Middle Ages," the insider told me, "When the patient died they would say, "well, he stopped the bloodletting too soon, he still had a little blood in him."

I took away from my talks with the professor that the solution to world poverty and crisis is simple: remove the bloodsuckers.

******

A version of this was first published as "The IMF's Four Steps to Damnation" in The Observer (London) in April and another version in The Big Issue - that's the magazine that the homeless flog on platforms in the London Underground. Big Issue offered equal space to the IMF, whose "deputy chief media officer" wrote:

"... I find it impossible to respond given the depth and breadth of hearsay and misinformation in [Palast's] report."

Of course it was difficult for the Deputy Chief to respond. The information (and documents) came from the unhappy lot inside his agency and the World Bank.

Award-winning reporter Palast writes Inside Corporate America for the London Observer. To read other Palast reports, to contact the author or to subscribe to his column, go to GregPalast.Com

Saturday, October 23, 2010

The Nobel family dissociates itself from the economics prize

http://rwer.wordpress.com/2010/10/22/the-nobel-family-dissociates-itself-from-the-economics-prize/

On October 11th Peter Nobel, a lawyer and descendent of Alfred Nobel, issued a statement dissociating the Nobel family from the so called Nobel prize in economics.  Below is my translation of Nobel’s statement. 

The Economics Prize in memory of Alfred Nobel should be criticised on two grounds. First, it is a deceptive utilisation of the institution of the Nobel Prize and what it represents. Second, the economics prize is biased, in the sense that it one-sidedly rewards Western economic research and theory. 

Alfred Nobel’s testament was not a hasty piece of work. It was a carefully thought out document. Also, Alfred Nobel’s letters suggest that he disliked economists.

The proposal of a Riksbank [central bank] prize “in memory of Alfred Nobel” was discussed by the Nobel Foundation on April 26, 1968. Professor Sten Friberg, rector of the Karolinska Institute, opposed the idea. The Nobel committee of the Norwegian parliament [which selects the peace prize candidate] expressed serious misgivings. But a rapid decision was expected, apparently under pressure. Why? Riksbanken’s chief Per Åsbrink had close contacts within the government, and for the Nobel Foundation it was vitally important to conserve its tax privileges.

What was the position of the Nobel family? Three days before the meeting of April 26, the then director of the Nobel Foundation, Nils Ståhle, met two members of the family and telephonically talked with a third one. Their position was that “it should not become like a sixth Nobel Prize”, but that if the economics prize could be kept clearly separate from the Nobel Prizes then it might be an acceptable idea. On May 10, Ståhle and the president of the Nobel Foundation, von Euler, visited the family’s eldest, Martha Nobel, then 87 years old — with severely impaired hearing but intellectually in good form. They obtained her written approval of the economics prize “under given conditions,” namely that the new prize in all official documents and statements should be kept separated from the Nobel prize, and called the “prize in economic science in memory of Alfred Nobel.”

In a telephonic conversation with a nephew, Martha Nobel said that the whole thing was prearranged and impossible to oppose, so that one could only hope that they would keep their pledge that no confusion with the real Noble prize should occur. There was no approval from the Nobel family as a whole. We were informed only much later.

What has happened is an unparalleled example of successful trademark infringement. However, nobody in the world can prevent journalists, economists and the general public from talking about the “Nobel prize in economics,” with all its connotations. That is why, in the name of decency and in order to honour Alfred Nobel’s memory, this bank prize in his memory should be given on a different occasion than the Nobel day [a day of  ceremonies headed by the king].

With no knowledge of economics, I have no opinions about the individual economics prize winners. But something must be wrong when all economics prizes except two were given to Western economists, whose research and conclusions are based on the course of events there, and under their influence. I can imagine Alfred Nobel’s sarcastic comments if he were able to hear about these prize winners. Above all else, he wanted his prizes to go to those who have been most beneficial to humankind, all of humankind!

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Spinoza, Descartes and suspension of disbelief in the ivory tower of economics

Suspension of disbelief

The core of my argument will come from James Montier, now at the fund
manager GMO. As a strategist at Dresdner Kleinwort Benson in 2005, he
wrote a timeless piece on the debate between two 17th century
philosophers René Descartes of France and Baruch de Spinoza of the
Netherlands. Descartes was of the view that people process information
for accuracy before filing it away in memory. Spinoza made the
opposite claim, that people must suspend disbelief in order to process
information. The two competing ideas were put to the test; and it
appears that Spinoza was right about the need for naïve belief,
something that has grave implications for investing, the subject of
Montier's essay.

Read more: http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2010/05/spinoza-descartes-and-suspension-of-disbelief-in-the-ivory-tower-of-economics.html#ixzz0uFsIotlZ


http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2010/05/spinoza-descartes-and-suspension-of-disbelief-in-the-ivory-tower-of-economics.html

Sunday, June 20, 2010

Mark Weisbrot - ΣΥΝΕΝΤΕΥΞΗ ΜΕ ΤΟΝ ΑΜΕΡΙΚΑΝΟ ΟΙΚΟΝΟΜΟΛΟΓΟ - ΑΡΝΗΤΗ ΤΟΥ ΔΝΤ

Υπήρξε υπέρμαχος της πολιτικής του ΔΝΤ - ώσπου το γνώρισε καλύτερα, από πρώτο χέρι, όταν βρέθηκε, παρακολουθώντας τις μεθόδους του, σε χώρες όπου αυτό κλήθηκε να τις «σώσει». Ο αμερικανός οικονομολόγος Μαρκ Γουάισμπροτ μιλάει τη γλώσσα των αριθμών - και λέει πως (και) στην περίπτωση της Ελλάδας αυτοί δεν βγαίνουν. Η χώρα, αργά ή γρήγορα, θα χρεοκοπήσει με «χορηγό» το ΔΝΤ. Υπάρχει ακόμα σωτηρία; Στη γλώσσα του Γουάισμπροτ λέγεται «μηδενικό επιτόκιο δανεισμού», «αναδιαπραγμάτευση» ή «άρνηση του χρέους», ακόμα και «έξοδος από το ευρώ». Στη δική μας, «ανυπακοή» και «ξεσηκωμός».

http://www.enet.gr/?i=issue.el.home&date=06/06/2010&id=169385

Sunday, May 30, 2010

Michael Hudson on taxation

Michael Hudson περί φορολογικού. Ποια ήταν η αρχική ιδέα, και που έχουμε φτάσει σήμερα, με αποκορύφωμά τα τελευταία 25 χρόνια, με την υγεία π.χ. να γίνεται προιον κατανάλωσης, και το βάρος της χρηματοδότησης να πέφτει ακόμα πιο πολύ σε αυτούς που δεν έχουν.

http://renegadeeconomist.com/headline/michael-hudson-series-part-3-income-tax.html

Saturday, May 29, 2010

Tourko-barok

Aυτό το βρήκε ο Μπάμπης.

φοβερός όρος: Τούρκο-μπαρόκ

προσέξτε καλά τις προβλέψεις που έκανε για την οικονομία (τέλος του κύκλου) το 2010, 14 χρόνια πριν, και για την Ελλάδα που πρόκειται να ενσωματωθεί στην ενδοχώρα, αντι για την Ελλάδα να ενσωματώνει την ενδοχώρα.

ΜΙΧΑΛΗΣ ΧΑΡΑΛΑΜΠΙΔΗΣ 1996 6ο συνέδριο ΠΑΣΟΚ
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DhiZhgyJ948

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Διατροφική καταστροφή

Από Συνάδελφο του μαθηματικού Ιωαννίνων

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NaYPmHHP5S0

Όλα τα μέρη:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EFSQ3GWZNdE
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OP0Any7DidA
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xbrCm5nusiQ
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D_qaESdUna4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YOIlYmnRkgI

Απευθύνομαι σήμερα

"Απευθύνομαι σήμερα, από το βήμα της Διεθνούς Έκθεσης Θεσσαλονίκης, σε κάθε πολίτη της χώρας. Στον μικρομεσαίο επιχειρηματία που αγωνιά για τις πληρωμές του. Στην εργαζόμενη γυναίκα που αναρωτιέται αν θα έχει εργασία αύριο. Στο νέο που βλέπει τα χρόνια να περνάνε, χωρίς να του δίνεται η δυνατότητα να φτιάξει τη ζωή του. Στον μισθωτό που ακούει έντρομος ότι η λύση για όλα τα προβλήματα της χώρας είναι να παγώσει ο μισθός του. Στον ελεύθερο επαγγελματία που ζητάει να είναι πραγματικά ελεύθερος να ασκήσει το επάγγελμά του. Στον αγρότη που βλέπει το εισόδημά του να χάνεται κάθε χρόνο. Στον συνταξιούχο που ταλαιπωρείται από μια πολιτεία που έπρεπε να τον σέβεται."

ΟΜΙΛΙΑ

ΓΙΩΡΓΟΥ Α. ΠΑΠΑΝΔΡΕΟΥ

ΠΡΟΕΔΡΟΥ ΤΟΥ ΠΑΣΟΚ

ΣΤΟΥΣ ΕΚΠΡΟΣΩΠΟΥΣ ΤΩΝ ΠΑΡΑΓΩΓΙΚΩΝ ΦΟΡΕΩΝ

ΣΤΗΝ 74η ΔΙΕΘΝΗ ΕΚΘΕΣΗ ΘΕΣΣΑΛΟΝΙΚΗΣ

http://www.pasok.gr/portal/resource/contentObject/id/88010eb4-9503-4dd7-8301-ed9bab0d1fdd

Sunday, May 23, 2010

The recycling of petrodollars and Latin America


Ίσως το καλύτερο βιβλίο - περίληψη, για την ιστορία του νεοφιλελευθερισμού. Αυτό το κομμάτι περιγραφή την άνοδο το επενδυτικών τραπεζών μετά την πρώτη πετρελαϊκή κρίση. Του David Harvey.

Γεια σου μαλάκα, του Γιώργου Πήττα

Σε μία χώρα στην οποία ο «μαλάκας» είναι το συνώνυμο του «φίλε», σε μία χώρα όπου η λέξη αυτή συναντάται ίσαμε 8 φορές σε πρόταση 40 λέξεων (με άρθρα ονόματα κλπ) δεν θα περίμενε κανείς κάτι ιδιαίτερα διαφορετικό από το να γίνονται ανάρπαστα τα «έργα» των κυριών Ντούβλη και Τζούλιας.

«Ρε μαλάκα, είδα τον Βαγγέλη προχτές…τι μαλάκας ρε μαλάκα κι αυτός! Ψήφισε ΠΑΣΟΚ ο μαλάκας γιατί ήτανε κοψοχέρης Νεοδημοκράτης και τώρα θέλει να ο μαλάκας να κόψει και το άλλο χέρι, ούτε μαλακία δεν θα τραβάει ο μαλάκας ρε μαλάκα».

Ο αγωνιζόμενος λαός με τις ευλογίες των κατ' επανάληψη ψηφισμένων από τον ίδιο Κυβερνήσεών του, έκανε τα αμέτρητα εκατομμύρια των Κοινοτικών Επιδοτήσεων και των Κοινοτικών Πλαισίων Στήριξης «εισόδημα» και όχι μεσομακροπρόθεσμες επενδύσεις εκσυγχρονισμού της παραγωγής.

read more: tvxs

Saturday, May 22, 2010

Peter Schiff Mortgage Bankers Speech Nov/13/06

πρώτη φορά τον βλέπω τον άνθρωπο, αλλά σε αυτήν την ομιλία είναι σαν να διαβάζει τις εφημερίδες του 2007-2010, ένα χρόνο πριν ξεκινήσει η κρίση το 2006.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jj8rMwdQf6k

Saturday, May 15, 2010

Συνέντευξη του aformi με τον Κώστα Λαπαβίτσα: οικονομική κρίση

Ο Κώστας Λαπαβίτσας διδάσκει οικονομικά στη Σχολή Ανατολικών και Αφρικανικών Μελετών του Λονδίνου. Ειδικεύεται σε χρηματοπιστωτικά θέματα και στην ιαπωνική οικονομία και έχει δημοσιεύσει πλήθος επιστημονικών άρθρων στα αγγλικά, ιαπωνικά και ελληνικά. Έχει διδάξει σε πανεπιστήμια της Ιαπωνίας, της Τουρκίας και αλλού, ενώ επίσης αρθρογραφεί στον ελληνικό Τύπο.

K. LAPAVITSAS from blog www.aformi.wordpress.com on Vimeo.

About that greek work ethic

originally published at: http://twentycentparadigms.blogspot.com/

According to many accounts of the financial crisis in Europe, one reason
intervention has been slow is that it is hard to convince Germans,
widely seen by themselves and others as hard-working, thrifty and
virtuous, to "bail out" those lazy, spendthrift Greeks.

This bit of OECD data on hours worked per worker (via Economix) runs
contrary to the stereotypes:















That is, according to the OECD, the average Greek worker logs 2120 hours
per year - 690 more than a German worker.

Cohn-Bendit sto eurwpaiko koinoboulio gia tin ellada


kati legetai sto eurokoinoboulio, apo "ksenous" bouleutes:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V7fnJCmbuPU

Saturday, May 8, 2010

H ellada exei alli ennalaktiki lisi

από βρετανό οικονομολόγο στην guardian:


http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/may/02/greece-default-debt-choice

βασικά προτείνει αυτό που σκεφτόμουνα και εγώ: α) άμεση έξοδο απο το Ευρώ β) υποτίμηση δραχμής γ) μετατροπή όλου του χρέους σε δραχμές δ) επαναδιαπραγμάτευση του χρέους για δραστική περικοπή και επιμήκυνση του χρόνου αποπληρωμής ε) αυστηροί έλεγχοι στην κίνηση κεφάλαιου στ) κοινωνικοποίηση Τραπεζών ζ) άγρια φορολόγηση (μετά από καταγραφή) κινητής και ακίνητης μεγάλης περιουσίας.

αλλά αυτό που κάνουν είναι ακριβώς το αντίθετο, σώζουν τις ευρωπαϊκές τράπεζες για 2η φορά μέσα σε 3 χρόνια.

Δ.