Doomsday Prognosis

http://www.aspo-ireland.org/index.cfm?page=viewNewsletterArticle&id=29

 

The European Commission has released remarkably forthright new guidelines for NATO. This organisation was originally formed as a defensive pact such that the signatory countries undertook to go to the defence of any member under attack. The rules were later made more proactive to broaden the scope for intervention: first, if any member were deemed under threat ; and later, if its vital interests were perceived to be at risk. In other words, it was transformed from a defensive into an offensive organisation. It is at the present time killing Afghans and planning to place troops on pipelines.

The EU report now makes the opening moves in a new conflict for control of the Arctic Ocean, mistakenly assuming that it has enormous hydrocarbon resources. In fact, its oil potential is severely limited for two principal reasons. First, it lies a long way from the prime source-rock developments which were in tropical regions, even if plate-tectonic movement have locally transported such rocks northward. Second, it has been subject to substantial vertical movements of the crust due to the weight of fluctuating ice-caps in the geological past, which have depressed such source-rocks as are present into the gas-generating window, and also adversely affected seal integrity, leading to remigration and dissipation.

Poor Norway, which is a NATO member, having a common boundary with Russia on the Arctic Ocean, is likely to find itself embroiled.

The report also calls for the deployment of pipeline troops around the world. NATO is in addition endeavouring to bring the Ukraine into its orbit, although this is seen with reason as a threatening gesture by Russia which may remember the eastward thrust of Nazi Germany in its quest for lebensraum (living space), eyeing the rich agricultural lands of the Ukraine.

The report furthermore draws attention to new immigrant pressures on Europe as famines strike other regions due to dwindling crops, falling water supply and exploding populations. It points out that the population of Europe (including Russia) makes up 11% of the world’s 6.7 billion, having an average age of 39, but on current trends expects its number to fall by 2050 to 7% with average age increasing to 47.

The report speaks of a vicious circle of degradation, migration and conflicts over territories and borders that threaten the political stability of countries and regions………where frustration and disenchantment breed ethnic and religious strife and political radicalisation.  It admits that competition for energy resources is already a cause of conflict, diplomatically avoiding mention of the invasion of Iraq.  

Britain’s new Chief Scientist has also pointed out the growing shortfall in world food supply. This is in part attributed to climate change, but dwindling energy supplies during the Second Half of the Age of Oil must exacerbate the situation.                           (See The Guardian Newspaper of March 10^th for coverage)